LostLoop · Polymarket wallet 0x4f08…636e

Wallet snapshot

LostLoop has made 75 trades on Polymarket across 35 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and sports (33%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 71.4%, lifetime P&L +$286. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No · $3 · 96¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No · +$7 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · +$4 · Jul 2, 2026
• Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)No · +$10 · Jun 4, 2026
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No · -$2 · Jun 4, 2026
• Spread: Israel (-2.5)No · +$24 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?No · $0 · Jun 3, 2026
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · -$1 · May 22, 2026
• Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)No · +$19 · May 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.