Tepid-Fatigue · Polymarket wallet 0x4efd…f6f5

57.6% win rate · 33 resolved markets · 0x4efd1504bb6222c965c55f50d7254938df64f6f5

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Wallet snapshot

Tepid-Fatigue has made 169 trades on Polymarket across 37 markets, $2,358 in volume. Most of it is in sports (54%) and geopolitics (38%). On 33 resolved markets the win rate is 57.6%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Mar 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $2 · 60¢ → 6¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes · +$11 · Jun 17, 2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes · +$7 · Jun 17, 2026
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Feb 28, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No · +$1 · Feb 28, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No · -$17 · Feb 28, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No · +$1 · Feb 28, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETYes · -$3 · Feb 27, 2026
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Feb 27, 2026
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Feb 27, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes · $0 · Feb 23, 2026

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