ae9516 · Polymarket wallet 0x4e25…140a

Wallet snapshot

ae9516 has made 166 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $77K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (47%) and geopolitics (26%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $103 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$21 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$59 · Apr 4, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26?Yes · +$1,207 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?No · +$892 · Feb 13, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?Yes · +$621 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$77 · Feb 2, 2026
• Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jan 17, 2026
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$7 · Jan 4, 2026
• China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No · -$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• US recession in 2025?No · -$0 · Nov 15, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.