Polymarket wallet 0x4ba5…04ea

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4ba5…04ea has made 296 trades on Polymarket across 157 markets, $376 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%) and economics (10%). On 148 resolved markets the win rate is 56.8%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?Yes · $1 · 38¢ → 47¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No · $1 · 71¢ → 71¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?No · -$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?No · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?No · +$0 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.