Optimistic4 · Polymarket wallet 0x497f…886c

Wallet snapshot

Optimistic4 has made 129 trades on Polymarket across 108 markets, $3,731 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (39%) and politics (13%). On 105 resolved markets the win rate is 78.1%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $10 · 100¢ → 100¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · $4 · 31¢ → 20¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)No · +$1 · Sep 27, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$0 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?No · +$0 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?No · +$0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No · +$0 · May 26, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?No · +$0 · May 26, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?Yes · +$0 · May 21, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?Yes · +$0 · May 15, 2026
• Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 11?Yes · $0 · May 15, 2026

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