TrueDivination · Polymarket wallet 0x4793…85af

Wallet snapshot

TrueDivination has made 259 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $4,589 in volume. Most of it is in sports (37%) and tech (37%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 60.7%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?". Last trade: Mar 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No · $214 · 23¢ → 76¢
• Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No · $5 · 50¢ → 85¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes · $4 · 75¢ → 25¢
• Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes · $1 · 51¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No · +$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes · -$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · -$7 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes · +$34 · Apr 22, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes · -$9 · Mar 31, 2026
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes · -$21 · Mar 6, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No · +$9 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes · -$16 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes · +$12 · Feb 17, 2026
• Will Arky & Yugi2x win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Yes · -$40 · Feb 16, 2026

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