Polymarket wallet 0x470c…27c0

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x470c…27c0 has made 294 trades on Polymarket across 150 markets, $537 in volume. Most of it is in economics (11%) and geopolitics (10%). On 137 resolved markets the win rate is 55.5%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · $1 · 56¢ → 79¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 63¢ → 72¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes · $1 · 48¢ → 50¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 68¢ → 69¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · $1 · 78¢ → 57¢
• Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?No · $1 · 39¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.