Constant-Layer · Polymarket wallet 0x46e2…f8bb

Wallet snapshot

Constant-Layer has made 20,112 trades on Polymarket across 1,848 markets, $3.4M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and politics (23%). On 1,840 resolved markets the win rate is 87.6%, lifetime P&L +$32K. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Iran leadership change by December 31?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $4,520 · 61¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No · +$93 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes · +$30 · Jul 7, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes · +$88 · Jul 6, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No · +$150 · Jul 6, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No · $0 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No · $0 · Jul 2, 2026
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · +$264 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No · -$19 · Jul 2, 2026

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