Misty-Casino · Polymarket wallet 0x4586…35d8

Wallet snapshot

Misty-Casino has made 53 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $8,653 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (44%) and economics (25%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$989. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $103 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$20 · Mar 6, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?No · +$368 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26?Yes · -$185 · Feb 23, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?No · -$234 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?No · +$1,120 · Feb 6, 2026
• XRP Up or Down on February 2?Yes · -$97 · Feb 2, 2026
• Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jan 4, 2026
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$2 · Nov 13, 2025
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes · +$0 · Nov 13, 2025
• Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No · +$1 · Nov 6, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.