mrgan · Polymarket wallet 0x4394…73cb

Wallet snapshot

mrgan has made 87 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (65%) and sports (26%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No · $80 · 81¢ → 80¢
• Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes · $21 · 27¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$7 · Jul 3, 2026
• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · +$13 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · +$117 · Jul 3, 2026
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No · +$20 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No · +$24 · Jul 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · +$22 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$92 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · -$50 · May 10, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$20 · May 10, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?No · +$8 · May 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.