9516 · Polymarket wallet 0x4318…4764

Wallet snapshot

9516 has made 131 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $32K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (50%) and geopolitics (25%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 80%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $103 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$20 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$56 · Apr 4, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?Yes · +$282 · Mar 6, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?No · +$258 · Feb 13, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 8?Yes · +$85 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?No · +$61 · Feb 6, 2026
• Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No · +$1 · Feb 2, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No · +$4 · Jan 4, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No · +$11 · Jan 4, 2026
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · -$6 · Jan 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.