Polymarket wallet 0x4243…7e78

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4243…7e78 has made 266 trades on Polymarket across 144 markets, $442 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (10%). On 131 resolved markets the win rate is 58%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 68¢ → 85¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes · $1 · 37¢ → 42¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?No · $1 · 59¢ → 63¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 66¢ → 67¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?No · $1 · 54¢ → 52¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.