Tempting-Daddy · Polymarket wallet 0x41d8…2fe3

Wallet snapshot

Tempting-Daddy has made 28 trades on Polymarket across 14 markets, $585 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and economics (29%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Apr 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $63 · 49¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $4 · 50¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes · +$12 · May 12, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · +$10 · Apr 9, 2026
• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes · -$20 · Apr 8, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes · +$52 · Apr 8, 2026
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November?Yes · -$20 · Mar 23, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes · +$1 · Mar 17, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes · +$4 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes · -$16 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$15 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · +$2 · Jan 15, 2026

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