Spectacular-Conspirator · Polymarket wallet 0x3f79…aaf8

Wallet snapshot

Spectacular-Conspirator has made 41 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $2,831 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and economics (23%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 72.7%, lifetime P&L +$39. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Dec 31, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $93 · 50¢ → 100¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $47 · 50¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $5 · 50¢ → 10¢
• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 50¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No · +$3 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes · +$2 · Dec 10, 2025
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No · +$0 · Oct 31, 2025
• Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes · +$9 · Sep 17, 2025
• Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2025
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No · +$0 · Jul 5, 2025
• Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes · +$4 · Feb 24, 2025
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes · +$2 · Feb 20, 2025
• Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes · -$0 · Jan 20, 2025

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