theworld4 · Polymarket wallet 0x3f0d…ea80

Wallet snapshot

theworld4 has made 49 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $3,021 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and tech (25%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?No · $235 · 82¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes · +$142 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Sep 19, 2026
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No · +$45 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No · -$27 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?No · +$20 · Aug 31, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes · +$22 · Aug 12, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes · -$46 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$46 · Jun 27, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No · +$30 · Jun 9, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No · +$12 · Jun 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.