Clown · Polymarket wallet 0x3e57…84a5

Wallet snapshot

Clown has made 5,297 trades on Polymarket across 329 markets, $3.4M in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and geopolitics (18%). On 315 resolved markets the win rate is 84.1%, lifetime P&L -$708. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?". Last trade: Sep 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No · $999 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No · $970 · 84¢ → 92¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $403 · 88¢ → 90¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $205 · 79¢ → 82¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No · $79 · 87¢ → 92¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?No · $18 · 81¢ → 92¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $7 · 88¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?No · +$23 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No · +$86 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?No · -$60 · Sep 10, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?No · -$80 · Sep 10, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No · +$6 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No · +$199 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by August 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.