Liquidpapercut · Polymarket wallet 0x3e40…224e

Wallet snapshot

Liquidpapercut has made 15,215 trades on Polymarket across 3,185 markets, $362K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (52%) and sports (9%). On 3,045 resolved markets the win rate is 55.2%, lifetime P&L -$9,492. It holds 23 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Government shutdown by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Government shutdown by December 31?No · $297 · 59¢ → 58¢
• Will XRP reach $1.20 in November?No · $196 · 82¢ → 81¢
• Government shutdown by December 12?No · $185 · 65¢ → 60¢
• Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30?No · $122 · 51¢ → 63¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $103 · 47¢ → 18¢
• New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?Yes · $98 · 65¢ → 25¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 14, 2026?Yes · $68 · 89¢ → 86¢
• Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?Yes · $50 · 47¢ → 34¢
• Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?Yes · $33 · 60¢ → 56¢
• Will MrBeast appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial?Yes · $32 · 52¢ → 42¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?Yes · -$21 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETNo · +$5 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETYes · +$2 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETNo · -$4 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETYes · +$3 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13?No · +$4 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 13?No · +$5 · Nov 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.