Duffield · Polymarket wallet 0x3da6…41fc

Wallet snapshot

Duffield has made 71 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and sports (39%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 80%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?". Last trade: Sep 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No · $3 · 92¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Yes · +$2 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?Yes · -$1 · Aug 11, 2026
• Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes · $0 · Jul 22, 2026
• Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Yes · +$9 · Jul 22, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 5, 2026
• Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?Yes · +$18 · Jul 5, 2026
• Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)No · +$8 · May 8, 2026
• Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?No · $0 · May 7, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · May 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.