2762951793887444 · Polymarket wallet 0x3be4…94d6

Wallet snapshot

2762951793887444 has made 1,036 trades on Polymarket across 152 markets, $53K in volume. Most of it is in politics (25%) and sports (17%). On 135 resolved markets the win rate is 89.6%, lifetime P&L -$23. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?No · $278 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?No · $189 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Tesla say "Robotaxi" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes · $48 · 92¢ → 94¢
• Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?Yes · $34 · 59¢ → 60¢
• Will Tesla say "Flying Car" during earnings call?Yes · $27 · 51¢ → 54¢
• Will Trump's remarks not air?No · $20 · 99¢ → 65¢
• Will Tesla say "Roadster" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes · $20 · 50¢ → 39¢
• Will Meta say "Muse" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes · $5 · 89¢ → 87¢
• Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?Yes · $5 · 96¢ → 93¢
• Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Yes · $3 · 35¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump's Midterm Rally in North Carolina not air?No · +$3 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Yes · -$3 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Trump say "Moon" or "UFO" or "UAP" this week?Yes · +$8 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Yes · +$5 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Kansas not air?No · +$2 · Oct 20, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?Yes · +$0 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.