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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$21.7K
353 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 103 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs6 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%· net of hedges
+50 new YES$15.9K+76 new NO$5.2K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 31 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$71 of $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $884·NO $958
YES Team
Total Invested
$920
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$229(+24.9%)
Whales
5
F
Fumbling-Rethinking🥇
Entry 55¢·733.7 shares
+$191INV $404 · WR 59.8%
W
wagonwheel🥈
Entry 77¢·280.1 shares
+$11INV $216 · WR 63.4%
T
Terriel🥉
Entry 86¢·200 shares
$-9INV $171 · WR 64.2%
J
johnashboughhedged
Entry 64¢·201 shares·also $35 on NO
+$35INV $128 · WR 55.1%
V
VMK-Manentehedged
Entry 37¢·2.8 shares·also $1 on NO
+$1INV $1 · WR 61.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 69% YES: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19