Polymarket wallet 0x393e…cdda

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x393e…cdda has made 153 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $262 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and economics (11%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 57.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · $2 · 56¢ → 96¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes · $1 · 37¢ → 32¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?No · -$2 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?No · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 2, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?No · -$2 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?No · -$2 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No · -$2 · Sep 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.