vcfr · Polymarket wallet 0x38e3…7503

Wallet snapshot

vcfr has made 366 trades on Polymarket across 78 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in sports (54%) and geopolitics (14%). On 73 resolved markets the win rate is 86.3%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $87 · 64¢ → 59¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · $27 · 85¢ → 89¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes · $23 · 69¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$13 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes · +$14 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · -$2 · Sep 8, 2026
• Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes · -$3 · Sep 8, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$2 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$5 · Aug 31, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.