Kastrychnik · Polymarket wallet 0x3833…cc82

Wallet snapshot

Kastrychnik has made 373 trades on Polymarket across 95 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (37%) and sports (20%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 65.2%, lifetime P&L -$24. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Jul 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $138 · 31¢ → 42¢
• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $114 · 87¢ → 99¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $94 · 82¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?No · +$11 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?Yes · +$18 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes · +$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?Yes · -$27 · Apr 18, 2026
• Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No · -$180 · Apr 18, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETYes · -$35 · Apr 18, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?No · -$20 · Apr 18, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?No · -$10 · Apr 18, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes · -$200 · Apr 18, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 13?Yes · -$21 · Apr 18, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.