Ferrand · Polymarket wallet 0x30c3…110f

Wallet snapshot

Ferrand has made 108 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (77%) and sports (16%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 61.9%, lifetime P&L -$127. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia invade another country in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No · $3 · 94¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?Yes · -$1 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Aug 24, 2026
• Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No · -$2 · Aug 24, 2026
• US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No · +$1 · Aug 24, 2026
• Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No · $0 · Aug 23, 2026
• IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No · +$5 · Aug 16, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Aug 16, 2026
• Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?No · $0 · Aug 15, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.