always-bet-on-nothing · Polymarket wallet 0x2ce3…b304

Wallet snapshot

always-bet-on-nothing has made 180 trades on Polymarket across 77 markets, $1,722 in volume. Most of it is in politics (49%) and economics (21%). On 73 resolved markets the win rate is 72.6%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Aug 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $151 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $34 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $25 · 77¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$9 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?Yes · +$0 · Jun 15, 2026
• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes · +$36 · Jun 13, 2026
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · +$128 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · -$128 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes · +$3 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Yes · -$30 · Apr 12, 2026
• Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?Yes · -$14 · Apr 12, 2026
• Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes · -$15 · Apr 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes · -$20 · Apr 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.