Birkstone · Polymarket wallet 0x29fd…f4f5

Wallet snapshot

Birkstone has made 51 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $7,128 in volume. Most of it is in sports (48%) and geopolitics (33%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 78.6%, lifetime P&L +$171. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes · $5 · 77¢ → 91¢
• U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No · $2 · 94¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No · -$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)No · +$21 · Apr 13, 2026
• Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)No · +$7 · Apr 12, 2026
• Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No · +$3 · Apr 10, 2026
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?No · -$1 · Apr 9, 2026
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes · -$3 · Apr 6, 2026
• Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)No · +$8 · Apr 6, 2026
• Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)No · +$18 · Apr 5, 2026
• Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)No · +$6 · Apr 4, 2026
• Spread: Cuiabá EC (-2.5)No · +$6 · Apr 3, 2026

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