NathanW · Polymarket wallet 0x28b4…8d97

Wallet snapshot

NathanW has made 326 trades on Polymarket across 85 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in politics (39%) and tech (33%). On 81 resolved markets the win rate is 77.8%, lifetime P&L +$568. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Apr 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $175 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $10 · 46¢ → 6¢
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No · $5 · 55¢ → 94¢
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes · $0 · 72¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · +$31 · Apr 3, 2026
• Google Gemini ParlayNo · +$27 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes · +$12 · Feb 2, 2026
• Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes · +$9 · Feb 2, 2026
• Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No · -$16 · Feb 1, 2026
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes · -$7 · Jan 1, 2026
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No · +$16 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No · +$7 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes · +$8 · Dec 31, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.