Maket · Polymarket wallet 0x281f…8c1d

Wallet snapshot

Maket has made 590 trades on Polymarket across 81 markets, $87K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (41%) and geopolitics (16%). On 71 resolved markets the win rate is 85.9%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran leadership change by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $150 · 71¢ → 89¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $86 · 64¢ → 69¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No · $73 · 81¢ → 94¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $70 · 84¢ → 86¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $43 · 62¢ → 56¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes · +$18 · Sep 3, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$20 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$5 · Aug 20, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Aug 10, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$13 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.