caldera.audit · Polymarket wallet 0x2741…31bb

Wallet snapshot

caldera.audit has made 436 trades on Polymarket across 77 markets, $4,697 in volume. Most of it is in sports (70%) and politics (29%). On 55 resolved markets the win rate is 78.2%. It holds 41 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jul 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $584 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $460 · 98¢ → 97¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $443 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $284 · 97¢ → 95¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $275 · 97¢ → 90¢
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $182 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $173 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $132 · 95¢ → 94¢
• Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $87 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $73 · 95¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $0 · May 14, 2026
• Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$1 · May 10, 2026
• Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Mar 26, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETYes · -$22 · Mar 9, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETNo · +$4 · Mar 5, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETNo · +$2 · Mar 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETNo · +$2 · Mar 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.