erfs435 · Polymarket wallet 0x25ca…ccd2

Wallet snapshot

erfs435 has made 33 trades on Polymarket across 17 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in sports (53%) and geopolitics (12%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 64.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $73 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $10 · 98¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendNo · +$28 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Apr 22, 2026
• Rockets vs. ThunderNo · +$17 · Feb 7, 2026
• Bills vs. JaguarsYes · -$15 · Jan 11, 2026
• 76ers vs. HawksYes · +$2,772 · Dec 14, 2025
• Magic vs. HawksNo · +$5,968 · Nov 4, 2025
• Lakers vs. Trail BlazersNo · -$4,060 · Nov 3, 2025
• Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes · -$15 · Sep 11, 2025
• Royals vs. Blue JaysYes · -$10 · Aug 1, 2025
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 1?No · +$2 · Aug 1, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.