Polymarket wallet 0x2585…f8f4

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x2585…f8f4 has made 125 trades on Polymarket across 63 markets, $132 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and economics (10%). On 60 resolved markets the win rate is 56.7%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · $2 · 54¢ → 82¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes · $0 · 68¢ → 30¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?Yes · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?No · -$1 · Oct 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.