Polymarket wallet 0x242c…286d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x242c…286d has made 842 trades on Polymarket across 178 markets, $75K in volume. Most of it is in sports (40%) and geopolitics (12%). On 163 resolved markets the win rate is 55.8%, lifetime P&L -$615. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?". Last trade: Jun 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No · $156 · 55¢ → 87¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $57 · 75¢ → 96¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes · $3 · 72¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · -$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No · -$2 · Jul 6, 2026
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?No · -$2 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No · -$2 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · -$6 · Jun 24, 2026
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Jun 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.