nihiao · Polymarket wallet 0x21ce…fa3f

Wallet snapshot

nihiao has made 125 trades on Polymarket across 46 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in sports (38%) and geopolitics (24%). On 44 resolved markets the win rate is 61.4%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Sep 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $3 · 64¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No · +$14 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$1 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes · +$1 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$3 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$4 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes · -$14 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes · +$26 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No · +$3 · Jun 27, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$15 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes · +$0 · May 31, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.