Polymarket wallet 0x2014…aa8a

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x2014…aa8a has made 165 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $234 in volume. Most of it is in economics (17%) and geopolitics (7%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 57%, lifetime P&L +$7. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?No · $1 · 56¢ → 83¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · $1 · 78¢ → 100¢
• Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?No · $1 · 64¢ → 71¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?Yes · $1 · 72¢ → 79¢
• Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes · $1 · 64¢ → 70¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?No · $1 · 61¢ → 61¢
• Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?No · $1 · 76¢ → 73¢
• Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 26 2026?Yes · $1 · 70¢ → 67¢
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 69¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $1 · 78¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28?Yes · +$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 25, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.