p4fabian · Polymarket wallet 0x1e06…263c

Wallet snapshot

p4fabian has made 102 trades on Polymarket across 48 markets, $59K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (29%) and economics (15%). On 45 resolved markets the win rate is 95.6%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $3 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2 · 97¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?No · +$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 3, 2026
• Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No · +$0 · Jun 16, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No · -$4 · Jun 4, 2026
• GTA VI released before June 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.