menmeng · Polymarket wallet 0x1caf…f5ab

Wallet snapshot

menmeng has made 88 trades on Polymarket across 57 markets, $1,127 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and sports (25%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 83%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $9 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $5 · 89¢ → 94¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 84¢ → 74¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $3 · 92¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · +$16 · Sep 15, 2026
• US x China Military clash before 2027?No · +$1 · Sep 15, 2026
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · +$0 · Aug 27, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · -$2 · Aug 3, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · -$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$4 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · +$0 · Jun 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.