Polymarket wallet 0x1be3…b40a

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1be3…b40a has made 243 trades on Polymarket across 129 markets, $424 in volume. Most of it is in economics (12%) and politics (9%). On 117 resolved markets the win rate is 57.3%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No · $1 · 71¢ → 100¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes · $1 · 33¢ → 34¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No · $1 · 67¢ → 53¢
• Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?Yes · $1 · 41¢ → 28¢
• Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?No · $1 · 26¢ → 14¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?Yes · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.