arahir · Polymarket wallet 0x1b92…aea9

Wallet snapshot

arahir has made 109 trades on Polymarket across 21 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (95%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Sep 22, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · -$64 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes · -$86 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes · +$10 · Apr 15, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · +$116 · Apr 9, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes · -$138 · Apr 8, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes · +$39 · Mar 4, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes · +$335 · Mar 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes · -$82 · Jan 2, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 2, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes · -$23 · Jan 1, 2026

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