Calm-Threshold · Polymarket wallet 0x1a4f…cae0

Wallet snapshot

Calm-Threshold has made 51 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $1,523 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (47%) and sports (24%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 100%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 16?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 16?No · $15 · 100¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 22?Yes · +$0 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29?Yes · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 7?No · +$0 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $0 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 28?No · +$0 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12?No · +$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Yes · -$0 · May 15, 2026
• Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · -$0 · May 8, 2026
• Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $0 · Apr 25, 2026

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