c472 · Polymarket wallet 0x16d6…0c01

Wallet snapshot

c472 has made 207 trades on Polymarket across 56 markets, $155K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and crypto (23%). On 52 resolved markets the win rate is 86.5%, lifetime P&L +$53. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · $14 · 91¢ → 97¢
• StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · $11 · 95¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · +$3 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$11 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · +$2 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$1 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$1 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No · +$0 · Jun 23, 2026
• Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026
• Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No · +$0 · Apr 7, 2026
• EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.