Appearance · Polymarket wallet 0x12da…d12d

Wallet snapshot

Appearance has made 922 trades on Polymarket across 88 markets, $147K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (59%) and politics (16%). On 87 resolved markets the win rate is 60.9%, lifetime P&L +$22K. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Feb 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $464 · 35¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Yes · -$16 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Yes · -$5 · Feb 16, 2026
• Ethereum all time high before 2026?No · -$814 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes · -$29 · Feb 16, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETYes · -$5 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?No · -$120 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?No · -$100 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · -$0 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?No · -$100 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 5?Yes · -$147 · Feb 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.