zZQ8xU4Btx · Polymarket wallet 0x12d1…46cf

Wallet snapshot

zZQ8xU4Btx has made 376 trades on Polymarket across 67 markets, $315K in volume. Most of it is in politics (64%) and geopolitics (21%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 82.3%, lifetime P&L +$5,911. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Feb 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $13K · 89¢ → 98¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $2,989 · 83¢ → 97¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $1,943 · 85¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · $1,660 · 86¢ → 98¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No · $1,013 · 84¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No · +$350 · Mar 21, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$1,560 · Feb 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No · +$1,050 · Feb 1, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No · +$300 · Jan 19, 2026
• Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No · +$750 · Jan 1, 2026
• Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No · +$73 · Jan 1, 2026
• Macron out in 2025?No · +$1,584 · Jan 1, 2026
• Starmer out in 2025?No · +$1,470 · Jan 1, 2026
• Erdoğan out in 2025?No · +$89 · Jan 1, 2026
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No · +$583 · Jan 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.