grutifer · Polymarket wallet 0x1231…3e32

+$1,951 lifetime P&L · 90.6% win rate · 32 resolved markets · 0x12315d8f7652cb599f58eea84141ff8b30283e32

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Wallet snapshot

grutifer has made 255 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $7,318 in volume. Most of it is in tech (73%) and geopolitics (12%). On 32 resolved markets the win rate is 90.6%, lifetime P&L +$1,951. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 49¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$488 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No · +$134 · Sep 8, 2026
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes · +$139 · Sep 7, 2026
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$17 · Sep 3, 2026
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$20 · Sep 3, 2026
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No · +$70 · Aug 31, 2026
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No · +$4 · Aug 31, 2026
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No · +$89 · Aug 28, 2026
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes · +$239 · Aug 1, 2026
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No · +$638 · Aug 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.