brownii · Polymarket wallet 0x083b…a478

Wallet snapshot

brownii has made 91 trades on Polymarket across 66 markets, $4,632 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (56%) and politics (30%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 66.1%, lifetime P&L +$110. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No · $305 · 91¢ → 93¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes · $208 · 77¢ → 81¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $121 · 80¢ → 84¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $117 · 83¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No · +$4 · Sep 1, 2026
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No · -$100 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No · -$50 · Jul 27, 2026
• Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes · -$10 · Jul 27, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No · -$100 · Jul 27, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No · -$100 · Jul 27, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · +$49 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$15 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$23 · Jul 27, 2026
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No · +$64 · Jul 27, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.