ahaii · Polymarket wallet 0x0787…45f6

Wallet snapshot

ahaii has made 241 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (41%) and economics (26%). On 24 resolved markets the win rate is 62.5%, lifetime P&L +$119. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?". Last trade: Jan 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No · $245 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No · $90 · 45¢ → 88¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $13 · 55¢ → 13¢
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes · $4 · 11¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes · -$23 · Jan 20, 2026
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · -$9 · Jan 14, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No · -$29 · Jan 14, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes · +$13 · Jan 13, 2026
• Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No · +$6 · Jan 12, 2026
• Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes · -$15 · Jan 11, 2026
• Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes · +$9 · Jan 10, 2026
• Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes · +$5 · Jan 8, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$36 · Jan 6, 2026
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $0 · Jan 5, 2026

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