roadstar · Polymarket wallet 0x0387…62d1

Wallet snapshot

roadstar has made 232 trades on Polymarket across 57 markets, $6,045 in volume. Most of it is in economics (23%) and geopolitics (11%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$103. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No · $495 · 95¢ → 99¢
• Will BMO fail by end of 2026?No · $205 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $198 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No · $192 · 89¢ → 96¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $137 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $109 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Fed abolished before 2027?No · $101 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No · $85 · 61¢ → 85¢
• OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No · $83 · 62¢ → 63¢
• Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?No · $79 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes · -$80 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes · -$5 · Oct 9, 2026
• US recession by end of 2026?Yes · -$42 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes · -$14 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · +$5 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes · +$8 · Jul 15, 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.