Soft-Tracking · Polymarket wallet 0x002d…1efe

Wallet snapshot

Soft-Tracking has made 379 trades on Polymarket across 288 markets, $1,236 in volume. Most of it is in sports (49%) and politics (6%). On 269 resolved markets the win rate is 72.1%, lifetime P&L -$4. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?". Last trade: Jul 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?No · $6 · 72¢ → 53¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $4 · 88¢ → 91¢
• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No · $2 · 88¢ → 94¢
• X banned in any European country by December 31?No · $2 · 68¢ → 86¢
• Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes · $0 · 58¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?No · +$3 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes · +$0 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No · +$0 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026

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