Resolved
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.1K
538 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 240 traders
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs21 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 28 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $266 is directional: YES $88·NO $179YES Team
Total Invested
$421
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$276(+65.4%)
Whales
32
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·414 shares·also $265 on NO
Invested
$204
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $204 · WR 86.8%
B
BlackJellyfish🥈
Entry 75¢·144 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $108 · WR 68.6%
2
0x25838295...🥉
Entry 57¢·52.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $30 · WR 56.7%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 41¢·39.7 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $16 · WR 76.8%
6
0x6bf5f84a...
Entry 46¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 55.3%
B
Botadouro
Entry 37¢·22.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 63.9%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven
Entry 50¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 91.2%
T
Tulip357
Entry 55¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 62.0%
2
0x2f1bd069...
Entry 46¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.3%
P
Pretty-Seaplane
Entry 46¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.1%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$773
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$687(-89.0%)
Whales
21
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 57¢·464 shares·also $204 on YES
Invested
$265
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-265
$-265INV $265 · WR 86.8%
D
DerDon◆Proven🥈
Entry 46¢·550.4 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-254
$-254INV $254 · WR 56.5%
Q
QbertRules◆Proven🥉
Entry 53¢·170.8 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $91 · WR 62.9%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 40¢·186.8 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $75 · WR 76.8%
A
aliiz
Entry 52¢·72.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $38 · WR 65.1%
M
motardio
Entry 48¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 55.5%
F
0xfd15910a...
Entry 53¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 59.4%
A
0xa67f1144...
Entry 57¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 58.1%
C
0xc84afab3...
Entry 56¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 61.2%
8
0x8dd75339...
Entry 57¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 21
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