Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$570.4K
3,183 trades
Smart Whales
196
of 900 traders
Smart Money Consensus
124 YESvs72 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $103 is directional: YES $0·NO $103YES Team
Total Invested
$69.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$86.8K(+125.3%)
Whales
124
6
65154861🥇
Entry 51¢·19,519.9 shares
Invested
$9.9K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$9591
+$9591INV $9.9K · WR 84.6%
C
classified🥈hedged
Entry 27¢·27,974.5 shares·also $13.1K on NO
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$20469
+$20469INV $7.5K · WR 82.7%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥉hedged
Entry 32¢·18,881.9 shares·also $6.0K on NO
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$12740
+$12740INV $6.1K · WR 62.3%
C
Cherut
Entry 51¢·10,317.8 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$5018
+$5018INV $5.3K · WR 61.0%
1
11122
Entry 45¢·9,951.2 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$5480
+$5480INV $4.5K · WR 60.6%
P
perroperro
Entry 100¢·3,675.9 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $3.7K · WR 77.6%
1
0x1281d24e...hedged
Entry 77¢·4,067 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$938
+$938INV $3.1K · WR 63.1%
N
newnewuser
Entry 79¢·2,800.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$587
+$587INV $2.2K · WR 61.7%
Z
ZeZeZe
Entry 27¢·7,664.6 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$5579
+$5579INV $2.1K · WR 67.5%
C
cqshedged
Entry 44¢·4,160.1 shares·also $4.2K on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$2333
+$2333INV $1.8K · WR 72.8%
Showing top 10 of 124
NO Team
Total Invested
$57.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$48.9K(-85.3%)
Whales
72
C
classified🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·17,088.3 shares·also $7.5K on YES
Invested
$13.1K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-13090
$-13090INV $13.1K · WR 82.7%
D
denizz🥈hedged
Entry 69¢·11,777.9 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-8110
$-8110INV $8.1K · WR 68.6%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥉hedged
Entry 67¢·8,967.1 shares·also $6.1K on YES
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-6009
$-6009INV $6.0K · WR 62.3%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 41¢·14,689 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-5975
$-5975INV $6.0K · WR 56.0%
C
Cmarinhedged
Entry 100¢·5,294.2 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-5286
$-5286INV $5.3K · WR 66.7%
C
cqshedged
Entry 100¢·4,160.1 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-4173
$-4173INV $4.2K · WR 72.8%
G
Gr33dhedged
Entry 77¢·2,495 shares·also $923 on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
$-1927
$-1927INV $1.9K · WR 80.3%
J
just.some.guy.2026
Entry 23¢·7,565.2 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-1754
$-1754INV $1.8K · WR 55.2%
B
bamesjondhedged
Entry 46¢·2,894.7 shares·also $139 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1332
$-1332INV $1.3K · WR 85.7%
1
0x1281d24e...hedged
Entry 29¢·4,067 shares·also $3.1K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-1177
$-1177INV $1.2K · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 72
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1058ms