Geopolitics47 days left

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$169.3K
1,103 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 325 traders

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 18¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 18¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+6 new YES · 1 smart whale+8 new NO · 2 smart whales
$57 bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 40h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $299·NO $2.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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